Ferrari shows great confidence in Leclerc: 'He can win titles with us'

So going by that max has been the luckiest driver, I agree with that and I also hope that Ferrari do sort out their problems, if not they would be aswell just giving both trophies to RB.

No source just my opinion jem, I haven't seen all the data from speed traps etc. The RB just looks like the overall better/faster race package, plus the fact that they(RB) are still on their first engine is quite alarming aswell, the picture will be clearer after Silverstone when all the big upgrades have been fitted.

Looking at the data from speed traps, Ferrari was slower than RB by 12km/h in Imola, 10km/h in Miami and 5km/h in Spain, after their big upgrades. They gain in slower corners, but RB also improved in the area lately. Top speed deficit means problems in Baku and Canada. They also have problems with drag, which means Monza and Suzuka will be most likely lost for Ferrari. They are also suffering in hot temperature, so Hungary will also be tough for them. Out of all remaining races, Singapore is the only one that should fit Ferrari more than RB. Reliability problems mean at least a couple grid penalties in the future. I wouldn't really agree Max was lucky. Spain was team orders, that has nothing to do with luck. Imola and Miami RB was simply much better. Monaco was more lucky for Checo. At the beggining of the season RB had problems with car set up, very narrow window for changes. They made huge mistake with it in Australia, as they admitted themselves. They improved that as well. I agree that overall RB is a better car, slightly faster and better suited for most tracks.

Yeah, SC really ruined Checo's race in Saudi Arabia. He looked like he had everything under control before that. In Miami he would probably be 2nd if not for engine problems. Max was lucky with Leclerc's DNF in Spain, especially because this will haunt Ferrari later in the season with grid penalties, so it's worse than just 0 points. Ferrari is in tough situation, hopefully the upgrades will work well for them. Fingers crossed.

Your speed trap numbers just confirmed what my thoughts are with RB having the faster car/package. I completely agree with you Hekate, as for the luck I was referring to max got lucky in Saudi with the SC scenario ( checo should've won) he also got lucky in Spain with Charles dnf (checo should've won without team orders) and got even more lucky in Monte Carlo with Ferrari screwing up Charles race and putting him behind max. I would maybe put interlagos along with Singapore that will suit the Ferrari more than the RB, so that would be 2 or maybe 3 out of the remaining 15 races that suit the scuderia which is a tall order for Charles but I'm sure he is well and truly ready for the challenge. Great post by the way Hekate ?

Thanks for the input. This is feedback that I can really appreciate. I agree, Red Bull did improve a lot since the first races and if they can continue this I think they will become the favorite for the WDC. But I fear that a certain point in the season, Red Bull will become very limited in the updates they can bring. And this might become an advantage for Ferrari. Reliability problem might indeed more likely be an issue for Ferrari and thus grid penalities. Hopefully they can avoid, but it doesn't look promissing. The tyre degradation is something where Red Bull seems to have the upper hand and that could really become issues for Ferrari if they do not find a solution. Because that means Red Bull can afford to start second or third, but still compete for the victory because they can push longer than Ferrari (like happened in the sprint race of Imola and in Miami).